Southern California Earthquake
There could be some aftershocks associated with this quake, although aftershocks become less likely as more time passes from the mainshock, and they are a lot less likely the further you travel from the center of where the quake happened. It looks like I am traveling back east at the right time, as there is, “about a 5-10% probability that one of the aftershocks of this earthquake will be larger than this earthquake (a magnitude 5.4), in which case one could call this earthquake a foreshock.” I will have to teach the dogs some earthquake safety and encourage them to take naps under our desks while we are gone!
According to Dr. Morgan Page, Mendenhall Postdoctoral Fellow at the U.S. Geological Survey in Pasedena, “The probability of a magnitude 6.7 or greater earthquake occurring in the Los Angeles in the next 30 years is 97%. So it’s almost certain. The probabilities get smaller for even larger earthquakes.
For a magnitude 7 or greater, the probability over 30 years is 82%. For magnitude 7.5 or greater, it’s 37%. For 8 or greater, it’s 3%.” For more information on the imminent earthquake disaster in California, feel free to visit this site to get a healthy dose of non-terrorist related fear – Forecasting California’s Earthquakes—What Can We Expect in the Next 30 Years?
As my informant mentioned in his account of the quake, there have been no reported injuries related to the quake. Media reports said the quake was felt as far south as San Diego and as far east as Las Vegas, Nevada.
